The Effects of a Criminal Record on Employment, Welfare Participation, and Health: A Model of Long-Run Behaviors and Outcomes when Lagged Variables are Missing Non-Randomly

In this study from Mathematica Policy Research, women’s criminal records are examined to determine their effects on employment, health, and welfare participation. The study followed disadvantaged women over thirteen years. By simulating behaviors and other trajectories, the researchers were able to find differences between external and causal effects, including policy and choice, of their outcomes in health, employment, and welfare involvement.